We are only a few days away from the Academy Awards, and while critics and reviewers may have their own algorithms for predicting the night’s big winners, Fandango went straight to the movie-going audiences to find their predictions. Fandango surveyed more than 7,000 moviegoers in the last few weeks of February, asking them which nominated movies and performances deserve to take home Academy Awards at the March 4 ceremony. The fan favorite for Best Picture was “The Shape of Water” with 19% of the vote, followed closely by “Dunkirk” with 17% and “Get Out” with 16% of the vote, respectively.

“It’s an incredibly competitive year, where the Oscar winner for Best Picture is anyone’s guess,” says Fandango Managing Editor Erik Davis. “Fandango moviegoers give a slight edge to the beautifully-realized fantasy, ‘The Shape of Water,’ and its visionary director Guillermo Del Toro for top honors, for this unexpectedly uplifting romance with a lot of heart and even more imagination.”

When surveyed about the impact of the Oscars on their moviegoing decisions, 87% of film fans said that Academy Award recognition made them more interested in seeing the nominated pictures.

If you need to catch up on the Oscar-race yourself, seven of the nine Best Picture nominees are already available to watch on Fandango’s premium on-demand video service, FandangoNOW, with survey winner, “The Shape of Water,” and “Call Me By Your Name,” available for purchase starting today. FandangoNOW offers one of the industry’s largest collections of movies on 4K Ultra HD.

Fandango’s full list of Oscar Moviegoer Survey Results:


The Shape of Water 19%
Dunkirk 17%
Get Out 16%
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 14%
Darkest Hour 10%
Lady Bird 9%
The Post 9%
Call Me By Your Name 4%
Phantom Thread 2%


Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) 31%
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) 29%
Jordan Peele (Get Out) 23%
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) 14%
Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) 3%


Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 44%
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) 23%
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel) 15%
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 11%
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 7%


Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) 30%
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) 20%
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) 19%
Saorsie Ronan (Lady Bird) 16%
Meryl Streep (The Post) 15%


Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) 28%
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards) 23%
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) 18%
Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) 16%
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 15%


Allison Janney (I, Tonya) 30%
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) 30%
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) 24%
Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 10%
Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread) 6%